Last week: 6-3 (+11 units)
Overall: 58-42-9 (+51 units)
Does it sound cocky if I say it feels like it's been easy to win this year?
I guess it doesn't matter if it sounds cocky - I'm just happy with winning. We're going to continue to take the extra points when the public gives it.
And that's really all it takes to win. If that's arrogance, that I'm OK with being arrogant. Call me anything you want, as long as you also call me profitable.
4 unit picks
NY GIANTS (+7) over green bay
The Packers look unstoppable - or at least, they will be, until they're stopped. The Giants can play with the Pack, and they shouldn't be getting a full touchdown at home. The hype has exceeded the production for the Packers.
indianapolis (+20) over NEW ENGLAND
I thought a lot about this line. It's just too high. Too many people assume that Bill Belichick is going to run up the score against his old nemesis. I just don't buy it. The Colts defense can still play, and I don't think this game is a blowout.
atlanta (-2.5) over HOUSTON
Anyone reading this column knows I'm not fan of the Falcons this year - but Houston isn't going to be able to do anything on offense with a fifth-round rookie. They need to put up points against Atlanta, and it's just not going to happen.
3 unit picks
CHICAGO (-7) over kansas city
Chicago's offense is better than most think with Caleb Hanie at quarterback. I can't say the same about Kansas City with Tyler Palko. The Bears should roll at home.
cincinnati (+7) over PITTSBURGH
I don't get this line - Cincinnati has played Baltimore and Pittsburgh both tight - and yet the Bengals are still getting a touchdown in what should be a tight game. Take the points and laugh.
NEW ORLEANS (-9) over detroit
Detroit is in a bad spot here - their poorly-constructed team is falling apart at the seams, with or without Ndamukong Suh. I hate that the line has risen from six to nine, but the public are right on this one.
2 unit picks
baltimore (-6.5) over CLEVELAND
The public has bought into the silliness of the Ravens playing down to their competition. It's as if they'd play a college team tight. They'll show their dominance against the Browns this week.
MINNESOTA (-1) over denver
Minnesota showed some backbone last week against Atlanta, as they were in the game the whole way. I don't buy into Denver's success, and I think they'll struggle this week.
st. louis (+13.5) over SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is struggling on defense - but I have no doubt they can keep this number low enough. San Francisco can't score enough to justify a line this big.
Overall: 58-42-9 (+51 units)
Does it sound cocky if I say it feels like it's been easy to win this year?
I guess it doesn't matter if it sounds cocky - I'm just happy with winning. We're going to continue to take the extra points when the public gives it.
And that's really all it takes to win. If that's arrogance, that I'm OK with being arrogant. Call me anything you want, as long as you also call me profitable.
4 unit picks
NY GIANTS (+7) over green bay
The Packers look unstoppable - or at least, they will be, until they're stopped. The Giants can play with the Pack, and they shouldn't be getting a full touchdown at home. The hype has exceeded the production for the Packers.
indianapolis (+20) over NEW ENGLAND
I thought a lot about this line. It's just too high. Too many people assume that Bill Belichick is going to run up the score against his old nemesis. I just don't buy it. The Colts defense can still play, and I don't think this game is a blowout.
atlanta (-2.5) over HOUSTON
Anyone reading this column knows I'm not fan of the Falcons this year - but Houston isn't going to be able to do anything on offense with a fifth-round rookie. They need to put up points against Atlanta, and it's just not going to happen.
3 unit picks
CHICAGO (-7) over kansas city
Chicago's offense is better than most think with Caleb Hanie at quarterback. I can't say the same about Kansas City with Tyler Palko. The Bears should roll at home.
cincinnati (+7) over PITTSBURGH
I don't get this line - Cincinnati has played Baltimore and Pittsburgh both tight - and yet the Bengals are still getting a touchdown in what should be a tight game. Take the points and laugh.
NEW ORLEANS (-9) over detroit
Detroit is in a bad spot here - their poorly-constructed team is falling apart at the seams, with or without Ndamukong Suh. I hate that the line has risen from six to nine, but the public are right on this one.
2 unit picks
baltimore (-6.5) over CLEVELAND
The public has bought into the silliness of the Ravens playing down to their competition. It's as if they'd play a college team tight. They'll show their dominance against the Browns this week.
MINNESOTA (-1) over denver
Minnesota showed some backbone last week against Atlanta, as they were in the game the whole way. I don't buy into Denver's success, and I think they'll struggle this week.
st. louis (+13.5) over SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is struggling on defense - but I have no doubt they can keep this number low enough. San Francisco can't score enough to justify a line this big.
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