Conference Championship Picks

Last week: 3-1 (+6 units)
Overall: 83-67-22 (+48 units)

We hit our stride last week - they were some serious issues with the numbers on the board. I've waiting a while to post these picks because I wanted to see line movements and how the public was seeing these two games. I think both of these games have serious opportunities to make cash. Let's do it.

4 unit pick
baltimore (+7) over NEW ENGLAND
Too many people saw Baltimore struggle last week against Houston, and New England roll over the Broncos. I just think the Ravens match up much better with New England than they did with Houston last week. The whole key to stopping New England is getting pressure on Tom Brady. Denver wasn't able to do it last week, but Baltimore should be able to with guys like Terrell Suggs, Jarrett Johnson and Haloti Ngata. Perhaps it's been overquoted at this point, but it's worth noting - New England hasn't beaten a single team this season over is over .500. I like Baltimore in this game straight up, but I love them getting a touchdown.

3 unit pick
SAN FRANCISCO (-2) over new york giants
I feel like there was a strange shift in this game - originally, the public liked the Giants, then shifted to San Francisco. Now this number has shrunk down to just two points, which tells me most are on the Giants. They played earlier this year, and the 49ers were 3.5-point favorites. Now they're suddenly down to two? It's because the gamblers don't think the 49ers can legitimately make the Super Bowl. They absolutely can, and they should. I'd love to see the Giants go to the Super Bowl, but my brain can't go with them in this one.

Good luck to everyone, and we'll have some fun prop bets between now and the Super Bowl. Good luck!